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Years to FIRE by savings rate

Your savings rate matters more than your income. Find your rate in the left column and an expected real return across the top to see roughly how many years of saving it takes to start from zero.

Years of saving needed from a zero starting balance, assuming a 4% withdrawal rate
Savings rate3% real return4% real return5% real return6% real return7% real return
10%69.3 yrs58.7 yrs51.4 yrs45.9 yrs41.7 yrs
15%56.1 yrs48.4 yrs42.8 yrs38.6 yrs35.3 yrs
20%46.9 yrs41.0 yrs36.7 yrs33.4 yrs30.7 yrs
25%39.9 yrs35.3 yrs31.9 yrs29.3 yrs27.1 yrs
30%34.2 yrs30.7 yrs28.0 yrs25.8 yrs24.0 yrs
40%25.5 yrs23.4 yrs21.6 yrs20.2 yrs19.0 yrs
50%18.9 yrs17.7 yrs16.6 yrs15.7 yrs15.0 yrs
60%13.7 yrs13.0 yrs12.4 yrs11.9 yrs11.4 yrs
70%9.4 yrs9.1 yrs8.8 yrs8.5 yrs8.3 yrs

The 5% column is highlighted as a middle case. Real return means after inflation. Results are for a person who starts with no savings.

How to read this table

A higher savings rate shortens the path in two ways: you invest more each year and you need a smaller portfolio because you live on less.

Going from a 10% to a 30% savings rate removes decades from the timeline, while moving from 60% to 70% saves only a few years because the early gains are already large.

If you already have savings, your real timeline is shorter than the table shows. Use the main calculator to include your current portfolio.

Formula and assumptions

Years = ln(1 + (1 − s) × r ÷ (s × w)) ÷ ln(1 + r), with s the savings rate, r the real return and w the withdrawal rate

Income is constant in real terms, savings are invested at the end of each year, the withdrawal rate is 4%, taxes are ignored, and the starting balance is zero.

Frequently asked questions

Why does income not appear in the table?
Because only the ratio between what you save and what you spend matters. A 50% savings rate takes the same number of years at any income level.
Is a 50% savings rate realistic?
It is demanding but common among people pursuing early retirement. The table shows the trade-off so you can choose a rate and a timeline that fit your life.
What real return should I pick?
Broad stock-heavy portfolios have historically returned roughly 5% to 7% after inflation, with large swings along the way. Looking at the 3% to 4% columns is a cautious way to plan.

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